Aleksander Barkov vs Jason Spezza
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Spezza 54.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 64.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 61.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 57.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Barkov
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Barkov
Spezza
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
9
Barkov
Spezza
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
5
Barkov
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
6
Barkov
Spezza
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
54.4% (7,990)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
56.8% (1,726)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
52.7% (643)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Barkov
Spezza
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Barkov
Spezza
P1
52.7%
55.7%
P2
53.4%
54.4%
P3
52.9%
54.1%
OT
53.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |