Aleksander Barkov vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 55 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Pageau 54.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 86-78 in 164 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.9%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Barkov
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
78
-
86
(164 meetings)
78
86
Barkov
Pageau
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
45
23
Barkov
Pageau
68 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
16
39
Barkov
Pageau
55 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
17
24
Barkov
Pageau
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
55.7% (9,486)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
57.0% (1,002)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
49.6% (2,069)
-1.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pageau
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Barkov
Pageau
P1
52.7%
54.6%
P2
53.4%
56.3%
P3
52.9%
53.5%
OT
53.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |