Aleksander Barkov vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 56.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 62.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Barkov
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Barkov
Pageau
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Barkov
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Barkov
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
59.6% (711)
-4.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
64.0% (114)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
56.4% (163)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pageau
Home
56.4% (550)
59.3% (506)
Away
56.7% (476)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Barkov
Pageau
P1
56.5%
56.8%
P2
55.5%
64.4%
P3
57.9%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |