Aleksander Barkov vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Pageau 56.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 70.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Barkov
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Barkov
Pageau
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
7
4
Barkov
Pageau
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
6
Barkov
Pageau
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
58.8% (889)
-5.7%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
58.2% (182)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
48.6% (185)
+2.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pageau
Home
58.1% (627)
59.0% (595)
Away
52.1% (705)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Barkov
Pageau
P1
53.3%
58.9%
P2
55.0%
57.9%
P3
56.0%
55.6%
OT
60.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |