Aleksander Barkov vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.8%). Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Pageau 53.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 68.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 64.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Barkov
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
Pageau
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Pageau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
54.9% (384)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
40.7% (27)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
52.9% (70)
-5.6%
On power play, Barkov has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Barkov is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (717).
Barkov shoots left. Pageau is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pageau
Home
54.5% (948)
55.4% (222)
Away
52.9% (991)
52.5% (259)
By Period
Barkov
Pageau
P1
55.2%
55.3%
P2
54.2%
55.2%
P3
52.3%
51.1%
OT
43.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |