Aleksander Barkov vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Carter 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 43-43 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Barkov
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
43
(86 meetings)
43
43
Barkov
Carter
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
18
14
Barkov
Carter
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
15
Barkov
Carter
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
16
14
Barkov
Carter
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.3% (8,728)
-0.9%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
57.3% (1,554)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carter
Home
53.8% (7,227)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Barkov
Carter
P1
52.7%
53.6%
P2
53.4%
52.8%
P3
52.9%
53.1%
OT
53.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |