Aleksander Barkov vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 39-38 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Barkov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
38
(77 meetings)
39
38
Barkov
Pavelski
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
16
13
Barkov
Pavelski
29 total
Defensive Zone
Even
19
19
Barkov
Pavelski
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
6
Barkov
Pavelski
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
53.6% (8,791)
-1.2%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
58.2% (2,122)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.9% (1,138)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pavelski
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Barkov
Pavelski
P1
52.7%
53.5%
P2
53.4%
55.2%
P3
52.9%
53.9%
OT
53.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |