Aleksander Barkov vs Joe Pavelski
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 70.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Barkov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barkov
Pavelski
Last 8: Barkov 5-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Barkov
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
52.5% (570)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
54.5% (145)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
44.4% (36)
+3.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pavelski
Home
59.2% (557)
55.0% (391)
Away
55.1% (695)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Barkov
Pavelski
P1
56.7%
50.8%
P2
54.8%
55.0%
P3
59.7%
52.0%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |