Aleksander Barkov vs Joe Pavelski
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 64.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 59.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Barkov
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Barkov
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
52.3% (560)
+0.8%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
57.5% (113)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
62.5% (16)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pavelski
Home
58.1% (627)
54.2% (360)
Away
52.1% (705)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Barkov
Pavelski
P1
53.3%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
56.7%
P3
56.0%
50.8%
OT
60.9%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |