Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +24.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Dach 35.5% (+24.1%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 83.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 78.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 76.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Barkov
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Barkov
Dach
Last 10: Barkov 6-4 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Dach
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Barkov
Dach
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Dach
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
32.5% (510)
+24.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
36.8% (19)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
37.5% (16)
+10.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Barkov
Dach
Home
59.2% (557)
33.5% (278)
Away
55.1% (695)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Barkov
Dach
P1
56.7%
35.3%
P2
54.8%
30.6%
P3
59.7%
33.7%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |