Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Dach 43.2% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 57.7%
Defensive zone
Dach 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dach 60.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Barkov
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
0
1
Barkov
Dach
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
39.6% (217)
+15.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
47.6% (21)
+14.7%
On even strength, Barkov has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Barkov
Dach
Home
56.4% (550)
37.8% (127)
Away
56.7% (476)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Barkov
Dach
P1
56.5%
32.9%
P2
55.5%
36.3%
P3
57.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
58.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |