Aleksander Barkov vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 78.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Barkov
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
27
(63 meetings)
36
27
Barkov
Backlund
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
14
6
Barkov
Backlund
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
9
Barkov
Backlund
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
15
12
Barkov
Backlund
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
49.7% (13,410)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.6% (1,336)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
44.0% (2,446)
+3.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Barkov
Backlund
Home
53.8% (7,227)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Barkov
Backlund
P1
52.7%
48.5%
P2
53.4%
50.3%
P3
52.9%
48.4%
OT
53.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 04:20 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |