Aleksander Barkov vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Backlund 50.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 68.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 55.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Barkov
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barkov
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Barkov
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.0% (1,205)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
59.3% (108)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
42.3% (234)
+2.9%
On even strength, Barkov has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Barkov
Backlund
Home
57.4% (540)
51.2% (782)
Away
57.1% (560)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Barkov
Backlund
P1
57.6%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
49.8%
P3
56.9%
49.9%
OT
72.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |