Aleksander Barkov vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 91.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 64.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 65.8%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Barkov
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Barkov
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
50.4% (1,032)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
52.3% (107)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
40.6% (313)
+6.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Barkov
Backlund
Home
56.4% (550)
48.7% (749)
Away
56.7% (476)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Barkov
Backlund
P1
56.5%
50.4%
P2
55.5%
50.1%
P3
57.9%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
58.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |