Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs Kadri 55.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 59.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 52.5%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Barkov
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Kadri
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Barkov
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
55.0% (533)
-2.4%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
63.0% (162)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
54.5% (22)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barkov is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Barkov shoots left. Kadri is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kadri
Home
54.4% (653)
62.2% (349)
Away
54.2% (550)
51.6% (368)
By Period
Barkov
Kadri
P1
52.7%
57.3%
P2
57.6%
56.5%
P3
53.2%
56.9%
OT
35.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2019 | OT | 01:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |