Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Kadri 49.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.7%
Defensive zone
Barkov 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Barkov
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Barkov
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
47.7% (975)
+9.2%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
54.0% (226)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
55.6% (9)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kadri
Home
57.4% (540)
48.3% (621)
Away
57.1% (560)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Barkov
Kadri
P1
57.6%
48.1%
P2
56.6%
48.9%
P3
56.9%
49.8%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |