Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Kadri 46.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 86.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 77.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 75.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Barkov
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Kadri
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
45.7% (1,295)
+9.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
52.7% (146)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
34.8% (23)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kadri
Home
56.4% (550)
46.5% (725)
Away
56.7% (476)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Barkov
Kadri
P1
56.5%
47.2%
P2
55.5%
44.9%
P3
57.9%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |