Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Barkov
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Barkov
Zacha
Last 5: Barkov 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Barkov
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Barkov
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Barkov
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
45.3% (247)
+7.8%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
58.1% (31)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
22.2% (18)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Barkov
Zacha
Home
58.1% (627)
39.7% (131)
Away
52.1% (705)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Barkov
Zacha
P1
53.3%
42.9%
P2
55.0%
46.4%
P3
56.0%
42.3%
OT
60.9%
87.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |