Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Suter 43.3% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 57.8%
Defensive zone
Suter 83.5%
Neutral zone
Suter 78.9%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Barkov
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Barkov
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Barkov
Suter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
42.4% (740)
+13.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
48.0% (75)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
37.3% (59)
+9.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Barkov
Suter
Home
56.4% (550)
41.8% (407)
Away
56.7% (476)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Barkov
Suter
P1
56.5%
44.7%
P2
55.5%
41.5%
P3
57.9%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Pius Suter |