Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Faksa 54.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Faksa leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 77.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 71.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 60.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Barkov
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Barkov
Faksa
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
3
Barkov
Faksa
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Barkov
Faksa
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
55.1% (584)
+1.9%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
66.7% (12)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
53.5% (99)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Barkov
Faksa
Home
59.2% (557)
54.5% (341)
Away
55.1% (695)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Barkov
Faksa
P1
56.7%
60.9%
P2
54.8%
53.9%
P3
59.7%
51.4%
OT
55.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |