Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 57.0%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Faksa 56.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 81.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 83.2%
Neutral zone
Faksa 62.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Barkov
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
Faksa
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Faksa
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Barkov
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Barkov
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
56.9% (671)
-1.4%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
85.7% (7)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
55.0% (80)
-8.3%
On power play, Faksa has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Barkov
Faksa
Home
56.4% (550)
59.5% (375)
Away
56.7% (476)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Barkov
Faksa
P1
56.5%
61.2%
P2
55.5%
54.5%
P3
57.9%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |