Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs McLeod 50.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 71.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 66.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Barkov
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Barkov
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Barkov
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Barkov
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.3% (628)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
68.3% (41)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
30.6% (49)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Barkov
McLeod
Home
57.4% (540)
51.5% (394)
Away
57.1% (560)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Barkov
McLeod
P1
57.6%
51.5%
P2
56.6%
47.0%
P3
56.9%
54.3%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |