Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan McLeod

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 53.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McLeod 55.9%
Defensive zone McLeod 73.3%
Neutral zone McLeod 63.6%
Result Ryan McLeod favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Barkov McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Barkov McLeod
Last 9: Barkov 2-7 McLeod

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Barkov McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Barkov McLeod
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Barkov
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.4% (3,345)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.0% (292)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
44.3% (635)
+3.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Barkov
McLeod
Home
53.8% (7,227)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Barkov
McLeod
P1
52.7%
50.8%
P2
53.4%
48.4%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
OT
53.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%
47.5%
53.0%
McLeod
52.0%
51.5%
49.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 8, 2025 3 13:24 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Mar 8, 2025 1 12:47 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 16:44 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 07:13 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Oct 28, 2024 2 06:58 Neutral Aleksander Barkov
Dec 16, 2023 2 14:29 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Dec 16, 2023 2 01:02 Neutral Ryan McLeod
Dec 16, 2023 1 15:36 Defensive Ryan McLeod
Feb 26, 2022 2 15:23 Offensive Aleksander Barkov