Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 55.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Barkov
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Barkov
McLeod
Last 9: Barkov 2-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Barkov
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Barkov
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
50.4% (3,345)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
51.0% (292)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
44.3% (635)
+3.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Barkov
McLeod
Home
53.8% (7,227)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Barkov
McLeod
P1
52.7%
50.8%
P2
53.4%
48.4%
P3
52.9%
50.0%
OT
53.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |