Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 56.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
8
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
4
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
44.9% (8,756)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
50.7% (839)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
37.9% (879)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (7,227)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.7%
45.1%
P2
53.4%
43.9%
P3
52.9%
45.3%
OT
53.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 22, 2017 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |