Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 73.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
50.3% (479)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
50.0% (28)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
30.0% (50)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.4% (550)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.7% (476)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.5%
48.7%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
57.9%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |