Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 62.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.0% (408)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
0.0% (6)
+63.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
35.9% (78)
+9.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
57.4% (540)
50.8% (258)
Away
57.1% (560)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Barkov
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.6%
51.6%
P2
56.6%
45.2%
P3
56.9%
47.6%
OT
72.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |