Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 63.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 65.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 65.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Barkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Barkov
Strome
Last 9: Barkov 5-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Barkov
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
44.1% (749)
+12.9%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
46.2% (52)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
52.9% (17)
-4.6%
On power play, Barkov has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Barkov
Strome
Home
59.2% (557)
45.1% (441)
Away
55.1% (695)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Barkov
Strome
P1
56.7%
42.9%
P2
54.8%
44.4%
P3
59.7%
45.8%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |