Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Strome 44.4% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 63.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 72.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Barkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barkov
Strome
Last 7: Barkov 4-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Barkov
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
43.0% (788)
+10.1%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
47.9% (96)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
50.0% (34)
+0.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Barkov
Strome
Home
58.1% (627)
42.6% (486)
Away
52.1% (705)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Barkov
Strome
P1
53.3%
41.0%
P2
55.0%
47.8%
P3
56.0%
42.1%
OT
60.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |