Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.0% vs Gagner 47.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 61.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 61.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Barkov
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Barkov
Gagner
Last 8: Barkov 5-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (673)
45.9% (815)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.1% (133)
55.3% (132)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
25.0% (16)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Barkov is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Barkov shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Barkov
Gagner
Home
50.9% (407)
48.7% (542)
Away
46.8% (412)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Barkov
Gagner
P1
49.6%
45.1%
P2
48.4%
46.6%
P3
49.6%
49.7%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |