Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Gagner 52.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 50.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 64.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Barkov
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
76.5% (17)
-19.6%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
28.6% (7)
+34.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Barkov
Gagner
Home
57.4% (540)
75.0% (16)
Away
57.1% (560)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Barkov
Gagner
P1
57.6%
25.0%
P2
56.6%
64.3%
P3
56.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%