Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belzile wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 47.9% vs McLeod 59.6% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belzile 76.2%
Defensive zone
Belzile 79.6%
Neutral zone
Belzile 80.5%
Result
Alex Belzile favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Belzile
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Belzile
McLeod
Last 7: Belzile 1-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Belzile
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Belzile
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Belzile
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (191)
61.5% (792)
-13.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
65.2% (23)
-31.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
55.6% (153)
-28.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Belzile is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Belzile shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Belzile
McLeod
Home
53.3% (107)
62.0% (460)
Away
39.8% (98)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Belzile
McLeod
P1
42.9%
61.5%
P2
46.6%
63.6%
P3
51.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
46.8%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |