Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Belzile wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 48.0% vs McLeod 58.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belzile 88.7%
Defensive zone
Belzile 73.8%
Neutral zone
Belzile 78.9%
Result
Alex Belzile favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Belzile
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Belzile
McLeod
Last 7: Belzile 1-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Belzile
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Belzile
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Belzile
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (213)
59.2% (2,894)
-10.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.4% (101)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
53.5% (525)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Belzile is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Belzile shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
Home / Away
Belzile
McLeod
Home
53.7% (123)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
39.6% (106)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Belzile
McLeod
P1
43.5%
58.7%
P2
47.5%
59.9%
P3
50.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |