Scouting Report
Alex Chiasson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 48.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 60.6%
Defensive zone
Zegras 53.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Chiasson
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
39.4% (510)
+5.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.1% (34)
-47.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Chiasson is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Chiasson shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Zegras
Home
44.4% (9)
42.3% (272)
Away
42.9% (14)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Chiasson
Zegras
P1
66.7%
37.6%
P2
37.5%
41.5%
P3
16.7%
40.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
43.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%