Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Chiasson wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chiasson 39.8% vs Zegras 39.2% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Chiasson 59.2%
Defensive zone
Zegras 56.6%
Neutral zone
Chiasson 50.9%
Result
Alex Chiasson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Chiasson
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chiasson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (213)
38.6% (1,669)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.1% (72)
38.5% (148)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
28.6% (7)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Chiasson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Chiasson is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Chiasson shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Chiasson
Zegras
Home
36.0% (150)
39.9% (882)
Away
36.9% (157)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Chiasson
Zegras
P1
42.3%
40.2%
P2
33.3%
38.0%
P3
34.5%
37.7%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
35.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chiasson
30.0%▼
32.0%
36.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%