Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Killorn wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 42.1% vs Marner 43.1% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 54.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 59.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 53.6%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Killorn
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Killorn
Marner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
1
0
Killorn
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (85)
41.5% (282)
-6.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
40.0% (5)
+45.7%
Penalty Kill
11.8% (17)
25.0% (12)
-13.2%
On power play, Killorn has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Killorn is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Killorn shoots left. Marner is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Killorn
Marner
Home
31.5% (54)
36.1% (158)
Away
38.2% (55)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Killorn
Marner
P1
32.5%
41.6%
P2
34.3%
40.2%
P3
39.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
34.9%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |