Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.7% vs Larkin 54.2% (-17.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Laferriere
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (90)
52.6% (1,117)
-14.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.7% (305)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
55.9% (177)
-30.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Laferriere is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Laferriere shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Larkin
Home
35.0% (40)
54.7% (783)
Away
38.6% (57)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Laferriere
Larkin
P1
46.9%
55.9%
P2
34.5%
56.1%
P3
30.6%
51.1%
Final 5 min
28.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
37.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%