Alex Laferriere vs Dylan Larkin

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Laferriere 42.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-11.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Laferriere 62.8%
Defensive zone Laferriere 67.2%
Neutral zone Laferriere 69.2%
Result Alex Laferriere favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Laferriere Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 5 (8 meetings)
3
5
Laferriere Larkin
Last 8: Laferriere 3-5 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Laferriere Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere Larkin
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Laferriere
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
51.7% (9,019)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
58.5% (2,125)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
50.2% (1,122)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Laferriere is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Laferriere shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Larkin
Home
40.2% (246)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
41.8% (273)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Laferriere
Larkin
P1
36.3%
52.7%
P2
39.3%
53.1%
P3
44.9%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
39.1%
53.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%
40.0%
41.0%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 27, 2026 3 07:29 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 27, 2026 2 18:21 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 27, 2026 2 12:10 Defensive Alex Laferriere
Jan 27, 2026 2 03:45 Offensive Alex Laferriere
Jan 27, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 27, 2026 1 19:44 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 27, 2026 1 02:47 Neutral Alex Laferriere
Oct 30, 2025 2 00:22 Offensive Dylan Larkin