Alex Laferriere vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 62.8%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 67.2%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 69.2%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Laferriere
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Laferriere
Larkin
Last 8: Laferriere 3-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Laferriere
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
51.7% (9,019)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
58.5% (2,125)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
50.2% (1,122)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Laferriere is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Laferriere shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Larkin
Home
40.2% (246)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
41.8% (273)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Laferriere
Larkin
P1
36.3%
52.7%
P2
39.3%
53.1%
P3
44.9%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
39.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |