Alex Laferriere vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.2% vs Sourdif 45.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 52.0%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 59.0%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 60.1%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Laferriere
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (322)
44.6% (556)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (24)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (70)
61.5% (13)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Laferriere is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Laferriere shoots right. Sourdif is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Sourdif
Home
40.3% (201)
43.6% (321)
Away
42.8% (208)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Laferriere
Sourdif
P1
33.1%
43.1%
P2
40.0%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |