Alex Laferriere vs Justin Sourdif
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Sourdif 45.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 57.1%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 63.9%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Laferriere
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Laferriere
Sourdif
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
44.6% (556)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
50.0% (24)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
61.5% (13)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Laferriere is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Laferriere shoots right. Sourdif is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Sourdif
Home
40.2% (246)
43.6% (321)
Away
41.8% (273)
47.1% (272)
By Period
Laferriere
Sourdif
P1
36.3%
43.1%
P2
39.3%
43.9%
P3
44.9%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Sourdif
32.0%▼
40.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |