Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Coyle 51.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 78.2%
Defensive zone
Newhook 52.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Newhook
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Newhook
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Newhook
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Newhook
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
53.0% (1,046)
-8.1%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
57.6% (144)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.6% (287)
-43.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Newhook
Coyle
Home
45.1% (246)
54.5% (719)
Away
48.0% (246)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Newhook
Coyle
P1
44.7%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
43.9%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |