Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Coyle 48.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 63.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 90.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 73.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Newhook
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Newhook
Coyle
Last 8: Newhook 5-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
3
Newhook
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
49.5% (576)
-6.8%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
54.2% (48)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.4% (145)
+56.6%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Newhook
Coyle
Home
39.6% (278)
47.4% (409)
Away
46.1% (280)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Newhook
Coyle
P1
37.3%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
46.0%
P3
47.3%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |