Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Lazar 49.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 68.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 66.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Newhook
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Newhook
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
48.7% (302)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
44.4% (9)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (54)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lazar
Home
45.1% (246)
49.2% (189)
Away
48.0% (246)
48.3% (176)
By Period
Newhook
Lazar
P1
44.7%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
45.2%
P3
43.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
46.5%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |