Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Lazar 51.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 77.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 75.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 58.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Newhook
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Newhook
Lazar
Last 9: Newhook 4-5 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
3
Newhook
Lazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Lazar
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
51.4% (356)
-8.7%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
62.5% (8)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.2% (36)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lazar
Home
39.6% (278)
49.7% (163)
Away
46.1% (280)
52.3% (237)
By Period
Newhook
Lazar
P1
37.3%
46.9%
P2
42.9%
53.3%
P3
47.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |