Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Spezza 52.4% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.9%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 78.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Newhook
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Newhook
Spezza
Last 9: Newhook 5-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Newhook
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
2
Newhook
Spezza
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
53.7% (451)
-18.5%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
54.3% (92)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
38.2% (34)
-4.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Newhook
Spezza
Home
38.1% (189)
55.0% (282)
Away
31.5% (203)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Newhook
Spezza
P1
33.9%
53.1%
P2
36.3%
53.2%
P3
33.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
34.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |