Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Spezza 54.7% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 66.3%
Neutral zone
Spezza 75.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Newhook
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Newhook
Spezza
Last 9: Newhook 5-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Newhook
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
2
Newhook
Spezza
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
54.4% (7,990)
-12.9%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
56.8% (1,726)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
52.7% (643)
-5.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Newhook
Spezza
Home
41.6% (1,061)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Newhook
Spezza
P1
39.9%
55.7%
P2
41.9%
54.4%
P3
43.1%
54.1%
OT
80.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |