Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Frost 50.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 86.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 80.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 86.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Newhook
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Newhook
Frost
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Newhook
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
49.4% (3,598)
-7.9%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
55.5% (625)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
52.8% (36)
-5.7%
On power play, Frost has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Newhook
Frost
Home
41.6% (1,061)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Newhook
Frost
P1
39.9%
50.8%
P2
41.9%
51.1%
P3
43.1%
48.5%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |