Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Frost 51.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 77.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 72.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 75.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Newhook
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Newhook
Frost
Last 8: Newhook 2-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Newhook
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Newhook
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Newhook
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
50.3% (825)
-7.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
54.9% (204)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Newhook
Frost
Home
39.6% (278)
50.7% (489)
Away
46.1% (280)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Newhook
Frost
P1
37.3%
53.6%
P2
42.9%
47.8%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |