Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Frost 49.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 85.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 81.1%
Neutral zone
Newhook 85.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Newhook
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Newhook
Frost
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
4
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Newhook
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
2
Newhook
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,850)
49.0% (3,418)
-7.5%
Power Play
44.1% (204)
55.0% (600)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
52.8% (36)
-5.7%
On power play, Frost has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
Newhook shoots left. Frost is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,654).
Home / Away
Newhook
Frost
Home
41.3% (1,014)
50.9% (1,943)
Away
42.2% (1,057)
49.0% (2,111)
By Period
Newhook
Frost
P1
39.8%
50.3%
P2
42.2%
51.0%
P3
42.9%
48.0%
OT
80.0%
64.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
41.8%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |