Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 57.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Newhook
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Newhook
Bjugstad
Last 6: Newhook 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Newhook
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
50.7% (906)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
48.1% (108)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.4% (239)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Newhook
Bjugstad
Home
45.1% (246)
49.8% (643)
Away
48.0% (246)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Newhook
Bjugstad
P1
44.7%
49.4%
P2
49.7%
50.5%
P3
43.9%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |