Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 89.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 88.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Newhook
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Newhook
Bjugstad
Last 8: Newhook 6-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
1
Newhook
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Newhook
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
48.6% (6,634)
-7.1%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
55.2% (829)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
44.3% (614)
+2.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Newhook
Bjugstad
Home
41.6% (1,061)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Newhook
Bjugstad
P1
39.9%
49.0%
P2
41.9%
49.1%
P3
43.1%
48.4%
OT
80.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |